I'd want to know a lot more about what the guest meant by that and what criteria he used to make that judgment. Is that an assessment of their skill? Their ability to learn? Their hand-eye cordination? Their physical strength? Their artistic ability? Their determination to succeed? Their skills at salesmanship and marketing? Their bookkeeping ability? Their capitalization and accounting structure? Frankly, there's a lot more to being a professional than simply forging ability; witness @TechnicusJoe's recent decision to leave professional blacksmithing and to remain an (extremely skilled and highly talented) amateur.
Honestly, I find it hard to believe that anyone can objectively disqualify anyone else on the basis of ten minutes' observation, although you can certainly get a strong idea of where they are right now and what areas have the most obvious need for improvement. By way of comparison, my wife is a professional musician who has taught violin students at all ages and skill levels, from total beginner to graduate and post-graduate study. She'll tell you in a heartbeat that some kids pick things up immediately, but don't have the interest or the staying power to stick with music long-term. Others with less obvious talents, on the other hand, have the dedication to music, the commitment to practice, and the desire to take their study as far as possible, and these are the ones who end up turning pro.